- The Hubei Model: A single, short wave
- Viral Waves: Long durations, uneven impacts
- The Long Plague
Alexander also documents a series of forecasts for the US each using a different approach
For nearly two months I’ve been tracking the coronavirus outbreak. I’ve been sharing forecasts, examining analyses, and collecting forecasts here, on Twitter, on LinkedIn, and Facebook…
George Siemens and I are hosting a two week futures-style Open Course starting April 15th on the SSHRC challenge “Truth under Fire in a Post-Fact World,” and the question of how education should respond. You can sign up by joining this mailing list.
This isn’t an easy task. Futures thinking is hard work. Fortunately, you do get better at it with practice. It’s worth the effort.
via Dave Cormier