- Very little changes, while simultaneously everything changes.
- Change is rarely about the technology.
- Appreciate the historical amnesia in much of educational technology.
- Technology is not ethically or politically neutral.
In short, the future will have much resonance with the present, but it will be one where the relationship between people and increasingly powerful technology is one that is constantly examined and negotiated. I would not expect any grand revolution in the higher education space, the much quoted concept of disruption is almost entirely absent and inappropriate in this space. So don’t expect the type of future often predicted by educational technology entrepreneurs, with all existing universities made redundant by a new technology centric model. Instead we see a continual model of innovation, testing, adaption and revisiting within the constraints of an existing, and robust system.
Martin Weller responds to a request to predict the future of higher ed by identifying four rules: