🎧 Have we misunderstood the Doherty modelling? (Health Report)

Listened Have we misunderstood the Doherty modelling? from ABC Radio National

Who would have thought pre-pandemic that the intricacies of mathematical modelling would become part of people’s everyday conversation and widespread media coverage.

Norman Swan speaks with Allan Saul about misconceptions associated with the Doherty modelling, in particular that 70% of the population vaccinated does not equate with some sort of Freedom Day.

In a seperate piece, Katherine Murphy highlights the ways in which it is a political pandemic.

If the country doesn’t reopen once we’ve hit 70% vaccination rates, the prime minister wants frustrated people to blame the premiers. Seeing that manoeuvre coming, some premiers (the people who run health systems that could be overwhelmed) sprinted ahead of the prime minister last week, foregrounding the various risks, identifying the crossroads Australia had now reached. How many hospitalisations are Australians prepared to tolerate? How much serious illness? How many deaths? What about kids?

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